How long with the Stellar consolidation last? A forecast from the XLMwallet
It’s been three weeks since the Bitcoin halving, but the rally so many were waiting for didn’t happen, at least for now. Stellar is consolidating and seems to be going up. When can you expect significant gains? As always XLMwallet analytics offer a forecast.
Stellar is still trying to recover from the big hit it took on May 10, together with Bitcoin and the rest. It went from $0.072 to $0.064 — a 12% fall. It scrapped a lot of the gains made in the previous month.
What happened? Why did XLM fall so much? Don’t panic — and definitely don’t sell. If you hold lumens in your XLMwallet, continue to do so. (We hope you do, because XLMwallet is awesome.)
What happened was a banal Bitcoin liquidation. Just before the halving, there was lots of volatility in the market, with people getting excited. The price started rising and even tried to go beyond $10,000. For Bitcoin, it’s been a very strong level or resistance since last summer.
When the price couldn’t cross the $10k mark, it became clear that the ceiling is reached for now. And people started to sell. The price began to fall. Then, a massive liquidation of short positions followed. Those are the futures positions on exchanges like BitMex: a lot of people were shorting BTC. Once some of the positions automatically closed, the price fell a bit further, more positions were liquidated, the price fell again, and so on. It was a chain reaction. Nothing happened to Bitcoin, nothing happened to Stellar. It was all just a technical process.
Stellar, Ethereum and the others simply followed. That’s the unfortunate reality of crypto: all the altcoins follow BTC, like sheep follow a dog. Bitcoin has been struggling to grow back ever since, and so is Stellar. In addition, there are a lot of Bitcoin miners selling the BTC they accumulated in the past few months, creating additional downward pressure.
What should you do? As we’ve said, definitely not sell. It will take Bitcoin a couple of months to get out of its consolidation stage, and then it can start growing properly, tagging the rest of the coins along. We expect very good gains for Stellar starting from July — definitely higher than where it was in early May.
Moreover, the Stellar Foundation has just made another investment. It gave $550,000 to a startup called SatoshiPay. It’s a micropayments product that is now eyeing an expansion into the B2B territory, mostly to let creators of online content get paid across borders.
As we all know, Stellar is the perfect cryptocurrency for cross-border payments: it’s extremely fast and cheap. As we always say, if you can HODL your lumens in the XLMwallet, do so. But if you have to pay with crypto somewhere, do it with Stellar rather than in BTC. Especially now, after the halving, when the BTC transaction fee has risen above $3 — many thousands of times more than with XLM!
In a few words: our advice for XLM owners is hold. A rally is coming, though we’ll have to wait a couple of months for it. We’re pretty sure that the worst for Stellar is over this year, and the only way to go is up.
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