May 12, 2022

Stocks Extend Drop on Worries Over High Inflation: Markets Wrap

  • US CPI data added to case for sharp Federal Reserve rate hikes
  • Flatter yield curve points to concerns about economic outlook

Stocks fell Thursday after elevated US inflation bolstered the case for aggressive monetary tightening and sparked a slide on Wall Street.

An Asian share gauge lost about 1%, European futures retreated and US contracts made modest gains. The S&P 500 Wednesday hit the lowest since March 2021 and the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 shed about 3%.

The Treasury curve has flattened on concerns that Federal Reserve monetary tightening will trigger an economic slowdown. The 10-year US yield slipped to 2.90%, the dollar was firm and oil dipped.

Hong Kong intervened to defend its currency for the first time since 2019. Digital tokens stabilized from a plunge a day earlier, victims of ebbing liquidity and evaporating demand for speculative assets. Bitcoin is down 17% this week.

US inflation moderated but topped expectations at 8.3%, signaling persistent price pressures. Traders raised bets the Fed will roll out another half-point interest-rate hike in September following similar increases in June and July. Russia’s war in Ukraine and China’s Covid lockdowns are creating shortages and stoking costs.

For equities, “we’re seeing the beginning of the capitulation and the great reset, if you want, in pricing,” Virginie Maisonneuve, global chief investment officer for equity at Allianz Global Investors UK, said on Bloomberg Television. “Right now the big question is peak inflation.”

Fed officials appear to be sticking with their approach of raising rates by a half point at each of their next two meetings. But Fed Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he’s open to boosting borrowing costs to restrict economic growth if inflation persists at elevated levels.

All About Inflation

“Until we get a meaningful move lower in inflation, not only one print, but a consistent two, three, four prints moving in the right direction, this market may remain range bound,” Mona Mahajan, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones & Co., said on Bloomberg Television.

In China, the central bank is making stabilizing economic growth a top priority and will step up support for weak sectors, Deputy Governor Chen Yulu said. Covid outbreaks there are sapping growth and snarling global supply chains.

China’s fourth-largest developer, Sunac China Holdings Ltd., said it didn’t pay a dollar-bond coupon before a Wednesday deadline and doesn’t expect to make payments on other notes, becoming the country’s latest builder to default.

Here are key events to watch this week:

  • San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks, Thursday
  • US PPI, initial jobless claims, Thursday
  • University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday